Sunday , 20 September 2026

A wake-up call

REALPOLITIK
By Benjie Alejandro

The latest data from the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) should serve as a wake‑up call. Net inflows of foreign direct investments (FDI) fell by 17.8 percent in the first half of the year, dropping from over $4 billion last year to just $3.38 billion today. 

FDI is not abstract money—it represents real businesses: factories, infrastructure projects, and companies that generate jobs for Filipinos. When inflows decline, livelihoods are at stake. The pressing question for our economic managers is clear: why are foreign investors hesitant to bring in or retain capital in the Philippines? 

The BSP explains that foreign companies reduced lending to their local affiliates and chose to repatriate profits rather than reinvest them here. But this technical explanation only scratches the surface. Could the deeper reasons lie in the noisy political climate? Or in the rising operational costs—electricity, fuel, and logistics—that make the Philippines less competitive compared to its neighbors?

It is difficult to attract investors when the domestic environment is unstable and expensive. Frequent overseas trips by officials may signal intent, but without tangible reforms at home, confidence will remain fragile. 

To be fair, the picture is not entirely bleak. June registered a 35.1 percent surge in FDI, reaching $447 million. This shows that global trust in the Philippines has not completely evaporated. Japan, the United States, and Singapore continue to channel capital into manufacturing and real estate. The country’s potential remains undeniable. 

Yet investors are not looking for occasional spikes; they demand consistency. What they seek is stability—economic stability, legal stability, and above all, political stability. Without these, even the most promising opportunities will be overshadowed by risk. 

The challenge for government is to move beyond short‑term gains and address structural weaknesses. High energy costs, regulatory uncertainty, and political turbulence must be confronted head‑on. Otherwise, the Philippines risks losing ground to regional competitors who offer a more predictable investment climate. 

The $3.38 billion figure is more than a statistic—it reflects the confidence, or lack thereof, of the global business community in our future. If reforms are pursued with seriousness and urgency, that number can double in the coming months. But if complacency prevails, the decline in FDI will translate into fewer jobs, slower growth, and diminished prospects for ordinary Filipinos. 

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